U.S. Severe Weather Forecast (Convective Outlook)

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Day 2 convective outlook 
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 
1128 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018 


Valid 171200z - 181200z 


..no severe thunderstorm areas forecast... 


... 
isolated convective showers and a few thunderstorms are possible 
over Florida on Wednesday. 


... 
High pressure will exist over much of the Continental U.S. On Wednesday, with a 
surface ridge centered over the Midwest. This cool and dry air mass 
will spread eastward toward the mid Atlantic as a powerful upper 
trough moves across the Great Lakes and northeast. Northerly surface 
winds will push a cold front southward across Georgia and into northern 
Florida where upper 60s to lower 70s f dewpoints will exist, contributing 
to weak instability. Here, daytime heating along with weak surface 
convergence may support a few deepening convective showers, 
including isolated thunderstorms. Overall, the setup will remain 
hostile to thunderstorm development with an upper ridge aloft 
resulting in warm midlevel temperatures. 


..maximum risk by hazard... 
Tornado: <2% - none 
wind: <5% - none 
hail: <5% - none 


.Jewell.. 10/16/2018 


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