Tropical Storm Jose Expected to Strengthen in the Bermuda Triangle; May Come Close to U.S. East Coast

September 15, 2017

Tropical Storm Jose is completing its clockwise turn and is expected to strengthen into a hurricane by Friday night. Jose will produce dangerous high surf and rip currents as it nears the Eastern Seaboard next week. A close brush with the U.S. East Coast cannot yet be ruled out next week.

(MORE: Hurricane Central)

Jose is currently located just over 360 miles northeast of the Bahamas and is moving northwest between 5 and 10 mph.


Jose Current Storm Info

Jose is showing signs of becoming better organized and is expected to attain hurricane strength once again by Friday night. An Air Force Hurricane Hunters plane will investigate Jose midday Friday to obtain a better wind speed estimate.

Jose will generally track northwestward on Friday, before turning north this weekend. This will bring Jose closer to warmer waters, which should allow for gradual intensification.

Wind shear is expected to increase by late this weekend, which should keep a slight lid on Jose's intensity. However, there is concern that Jose's wind field size could expand as it gains latitude.


Jose Projected Path

At this time, the majority of forecast guidance still shows Jose curling north, then northeast sufficiently to the east of both the Bahamas and the U.S. East Coast to avoid direct inland impacts.

Some forecast guidance shows Jose passing close enough to the East Coast to at least bring a brush of rain and some gusty winds the first half of next week.

All interests along the U.S. East Coast from the Carolinas northward, as well as Atlantic Canada, should continue to monitor Jose well into next week for any forecast changes.

Regardless, large swells generated by Jose will continue to affect the Bahamas, Bermuda and the north coasts of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands the next several days.

By this weekend, these large swells should reach the Eastern Seaboard, spreading as far north as coastal New England. Waves higher than 10 feet may reach the coastline north of the Georgia/South Carolina late this weekend.


Current Wave Heights

If you have plans at the beach into next week, be on the lookout for dangerous rip currents. Observe all orders to stay out of the water if rough surf and rip currents are in play. Life-threatening rip currents will be possible this weekend into early next week.

Check back with weather.com for updates in the days ahead for the latest details on Jose.


The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.

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