Tropical Storm Franklin to Become the Atlantic Basin's First Hurricane of 2017 Before Landfall; Dangerous Flood Threat

Chris Dolce
Published: August 9, 2017

Tropical Storm Franklin is intensifying over the Bay of Campeche, headed toward a final landfall in eastern Mexico overnight tonight, likely as the Atlantic Basin's first hurricane of the season.

(MORE: Hurricane Central)

The center of Franklin is now about 135 miles east-northeast of Veracruz, Mexico, moving west at 10 to 15 mph.


Current Storm Status

Conditions are beginning to deteriorate on the coast of eastern Mexico as bands of rain and gusty winds move ashore.

Franklin continues to strengthen and is expected to become a hurricane soon as it heads for a final landfall in eastern Mexico early Thursday morning.


Projected Path and Intensity

A hurricane warning has been issued by the government of Mexico for Franklin's second landfall in parts of eastern Mexico, from Puerto de Veracruz to Cabo Rojo.

Tropical storm warnings are also in effect for other parts of the Mexican coast along the Bay of Campeche.


Current Tropical Watches and Warnings

Hurricane or tropical storm-force winds are expected along the coast Wednesday night into early Thursday, particularly in Veracruz state. 

(MORE: Water is a Tropical Storm's Deadliest Threat)

A storm surge of 4 to 6 feet is possible near and north of the center along the eastern Mexican Bay of Campeche coast late tonight and Thursday morning, before water levels subside after that, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Perhaps the most serious threat, however, may be from rainfall flooding.

Up to 15 inches of rain may fall in eastern Mexico through Thursday associated with Franklin's final move inland. Flash flooding and mudslides are likely to be major concerns as Franklin grinds across this region's mountainous terrain.


Forecast Rainfall

A year ago, eastern Mexico was ravaged by flooding and mudslides from Tropical Storm Earl which claimed the lives of 81 people.

Franklin is no direct threat to the U.S. Gulf Coast.

However, high surf, rip currents, and minor coastal flooding should affect southern Texas through Thursday. The National Weather Service in Brownsville, Texas, posted a high surf advisory for the South Texas coast through Thursday night. 

Franklin's First Landfall

Franklin made its first landfall as a tropical storm just before 11 p.m. CDT Monday night near Pulticub, Mexico, about 180 miles south-southwest of Cozumel. 

Significant flash flooding occurred in the city of Campeche as Franklin moved through Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula on Tuesday.


The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.

Featured Blogs

Meteorology of Saturday's Colombian Flood Disaster That Killed 254

By Dr. Jeff Masters
April 3, 2017

At least 254 people were killed in the in the city of Mocoa (population 40,000) in southwest Colombia near the border of Ecuador early Saturday, when torrential rains triggered a debris flow on a nearby mountain that surged into the town as a huge wall of water carrying tons of mud and debris. The disaster is the fourth deadliest weather-related disaster in Colombia’s recorded history.

Iconic American Destination Virtually Isolated for Rest of Year

By Christopher C. Burt
March 24, 2017

Half of the village of Big Sur, on the coast of central California, has lost its only access to the north following the demolition of the flood-damaged Pfeiffer Canyon Bridge along State Route 1 (also Rt. 1 or SR 1) on March 19. Although Rt. 1 to the south of Big Sur has reopened to traffic (after mud and rock slides were cleared) it is a long 70-mile journey along the windy but spectacular highway to Cambria, the next town of any significance where supplies can be had. CalTrans (California Department of Transportation) estimates it will take 6-9 months to rebuild a new bridge over the canyon.

An extraordinary meteorological event; was one of its results a 1000-year flood?

By Stu Ostro
October 5, 2015

The confluence of meteorological ingredients the first weekend in October 2015 resulted in an extraordinary weather event with severe impacts. Was one of them a 1000-year flood?

Why the Arrest of a Science-Loving 14-year-old Matters

By Shaun Tanner
September 16, 2015

By now, many of you have heard or read about the arrest of Ahmed Mohamed, a 14-year-old high school student from Irving, Texas. Ahmed was arrested because school officials called the police after he showed one of his teachers his homemade clock. Mistaken for a bomb, Ahmed was taken into custody, interrogated, shamed, suspended (still on suspension today, Wednesday), and reprimanded. All of this after it has been found that the "device" he brought to school was indeed, a homemade clock.