By: StormTrackerScott , 12:56 PM GMT on February 17, 2017
GFS has this California system over FL next Wednesday & Thursday. This totals could be much higher if the GFS and some of these other models verify. Very unusual to get a cut off low this far south in February.
The system projected to be over FL next week is currently slamming into California.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
444 AM EST Fri Feb 17 2017
Mon-Thu... Primary attention continues to focus on a potential GOMex
system that mid range guidance has been hinting at for the past
several days. A very strong zonal jet spans the Pacific Ocean south
of the 40th parallel, with a 180KT core positioned about halfway
btwn the Aleutian and Hawaiian islands. The leading edge of the jet
is beginning to dig off the CA coast and is forecast to become
highly amplified over the next 24-36HRS.
Once it does, the stage will be set for an unsettled WX pattern for
central FL at midweek. The kink in the mid/upr lvl wind field will
work its way into the Central Plains on Mon before its srn extension
cuts off over the GOMex Tue Night into Wed. Interaction with a deep
lyr anticyclone over the Mid Atlc will generate a brisk E/SE breeze
by daybreak Wed, bcmg S/SW on Thu as the storm core works its way
acrs the FL Peninsula.
While the fcst will be subject revision considering the system is in
the 6-7day timeframe, it should be noted that this unusually
southward track can be favorable for strong or possibly severe
storms with hail and and strong wind gusts in east central Florida.
The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.
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