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World Series forecast and tropical update

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 1:23 PM GMT on October 26, 2006

Tonight's World Series game in St. Louis between the Tigers and the Cardinals has about a 30% chance of being rained out. A slow-moving low pressure system over the Southern Plains is expected to track across Missouri over the next two days, bring the continued chance of rain to St. Louis through Friday night. The best chance of rain is from 2am Friday through 6pm Friday, when periods of heavy rain are expected. There will be some intermittent areas of light rain and short-lived heavier showers in the area tonight, but I think the rain will not be widespread enough to cause a cancellation of the game. A rain delay of an hour or two is certainly a possibility, though. Game time temperatures should be near 48 degrees, with a light 5 mph wind blowing in from the outfield towards home. Friday's game may suffer a rain delay as well, but will likely get played.

In the Atlantic, a concentrated area of thunderstorms about 600 miles east of the Lesser Antilles Islands is associated with a westward-moving tropical wave. The region is under 20 knots of wind shear, and the shear is expected to remain too high to allow development to occur. None of the models are forecasting any significant tropical development over the next six days, and the long-range GFS model forecast no longer calls for a tropical storm to develop in the western Caribbean late next week. In the eastern Pacific, Paul has come ashore in Mexico north of Mazatlan and has dissipated. No damage or flooding problems have been reported from the storm.


The biggest storm so far this hurricane season: the storm of controversy over what was on Kenny Rogers' hand during game two of the World Series! Image of Kenny Rogers courtesy of sportsillustrated.com

I'll be back Friday with a report on a major new hurricane funding initiative introduced to the Senate. With election day fast approaching, I encourage you to ask your Senators how they plan to vote on this important issue!

Jeff Masters

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.