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Disturbance in the Northwest Caribbean

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 7:21 PM GMT on November 17, 2005

Hello all, it's Shaun again.

Disturbance in the northwest Caribbean

The National Hurricane Centered issued a Tropical Disturbance Statement for the disturbance in the northwest Caribbean Sea at 4:25 PM EST.
To summarize the statement, a hurricane hunter investigated the area and found that the disturbance off the Nicaragua coast had not developed into a tropical depression. In fact, areal coverage and intensity of shower activity has decreased significantly over the past few hours as evidence in satellite imagery.

The hurricane hunter also investigated the remnants of Tropical Depression Twenty-seven and found no closed circulation. Suprisingly, tropical storm force winds along with shower activity was observed in the area.
When looking at the satellite imagery, it is evident that there is significant convection noted along with the remnants of Twenty-seven. It seems as though this system now has the best chance of further development over the next few days as it resides in an environment of weak shear. The farther north it travels, however, the more shear it will encounter.

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.