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Geary's Sea of Cortez Weather for 2/17/17 (3047)

By: Geary , 1:56 PM GMT on February 17, 2017

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This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.

The following is from my daily ham radio Report
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Friday, February 17, 2017

Voice to Text

Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see the first band of clouds from a major Pacific storm that will be pushing a cold front down the outside of the peninsula today and tomorrow bringing rain and high winds. I’ll detail that in a minute. Meantime when I started my weather this morning at 4am it was calm and the stars out and I could see a bright moon. This image is showing the central and southern seas to be clear as well as along the west coast of Mexico.
The Gulf of Tehuantepec will be experiencing winds in the mid teens from the SE for the 3-Day Forecast.
That’s what is going on in our hood this morning. Taking a quick look north to the west coast of America where the Great North West will be seeing rain well into next week.
In northern California wet weather returns with several storm system passages expected through next week. Gusty winds today through Monday bring an increased flood threats for Monday. Officials have lowered the water behind the Orville dam to prevent another dam break however below the dam cars are parked for a quick retreat.
In southern California a strong Pacific storm will impact the region today through Saturday. This storm will bring periods of damaging winds and heavy rain to the area. The most significant impacts are expected to occur this afternoon and tonight. Showers will continue tomorrow. Dry weather returns Sunday, but some lighter showers are expected Monday and again Wednesday.
Looking now over to the desert southwest where dry with warmer conditions are expected for one more day today. Then that strong Pacific storm system will bring a very good chance of valley rain, mountain snow, cooler temperatures and gusty winds this weekend.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence this morning a strong Pacific storm will start making it’s way down the outside of the Baja peninsula. We should start seeing clouds by early this morning and by the afternoon pretty much solid cloud cover. Winds will start first in the northern sea this afternoon and be in the 30-40 knot ranges. We should start to see rain during the night tonight, probably around midnight, and into tomorrow afternoon clearing during the night and a then we should see a sunny Sunday.
After looking at all the data I have available to me is here is what I’m seeing for the central sea: light rain early tomorrow morning with a stronger swath of rain later in the morning. Then as the front passes light rain lasting into the late afternoon diminishing in the evening hours and clearing over night.
The time table for the southern sea will be a few hours later as the front moves south down the outside of the peninsula. They could have the strongest winds on the peninsula and most likely the heaviest rain.
The Sonoran side will most likely have the strongest winds and the heaviest rain as the southern swirl of this storm will pick up warm pacific waters.
The southern crossing and Sinaloa will see strong winds and heavy rain well into Saturday night and early Sunday morning.
Here are the wind details for the 3-Day Forecast period.
The northern sea, Sonoran side: 35 SE this afternoon from the SE, the high teens tomorrow from the SW and light NE on Sunday.
The northern sea, Baja side: San Filepe 34 this afternoon and however further south in the Bay of La the low teens today and tomorrow from the SW and the high teens on Sunday from the SW.
Central sea Guaymas area: the low 20s this afternoon from the SE and around 40 tomorrow afternoon from the SE and light SW on Sunday.
The central sea Baja side: the mid teens this afternoon from the SE, the high teens tomorrow from the SW and light NW on Sunday.
Puerto Escondito: the mid teens from the SE this afternoon, around 20 from the SW tomorrow afternoon and light NW on Sunday.
La Paz: the low teens from the SE this afternoon, the high teens tomorrow afternoon from the SW and light NE on Sunday.
The San Lorenzo Channel and the near by islands: around 22 his afternoon from the SE then the mid teens from the SE over the weekend.
East Cape: the low 20s today from the SE, the low 20s tomorrow from the SW and the low teens from the NE on Sunday.
Mexican Riviera, Mazatlan: today light NW, tomorrow afternoon the mid teens from the SE and I think on Saturday night when a strong band of rain is forecast to move though they could see some high winds. On Sunday around 20 from the NW.
Puerta Vallarta to Cabo Correnties: light NW for the 3-Day Forecast.
South of Cabo Correnties: mostly the high teen from the SW for the 3-Day Forecast.
Good news weather-wise: Carnaval starts next week and it does not look like it will rain on their parades.

73s Y'all

Today: Friday Feb 17
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Saturday 2/18
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 16-21
Center : Afternoon Winds: WSW 16-21
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 12-15
Sunday 2/19
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-15
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)
ENSENADA
Friday 2/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 21-27
Seas: WNW 11 feet at 15 seconds
Saturday 2/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 21-27
Seas: W 16 feet at 14 seconds
Sunday 2/19 Afternoon Winds: NW 9-12
Seas: WNW 10 feet at 13 seconds

POINT SAN QUINTIN
Sunday 4/21 Afternoon Winds: S 24-31
Seas: WNW 9 feet at 16 seconds
Saturday 2/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 24-32
Seas: W 15 feet at 14 seconds
Sunday 2/19 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Seas: WNW 11 feet at 13 seconds

TURTLE BAY
Friday 2/17 Afternoon Winds: S 12-16
Seas: WNW 8 feet at 16 seconds
Saturday 2/18 Afternoon Winds: WSW 15-19
Seas: WNW 13 feet at 14 seconds
Sunday 2/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: WNW 16 feet at 13 second

CEDROS ISLAND
Friday 2/17 Afternoon Winds: SSW 18-24
Seas: WNW 7 feet at 16 seconds
Saturday 2/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 22-29
Seas: WNW 13 feet at 14 seconds
Sunday 2/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: WNW 10 feet at 13 seconds

ABREOJOS
Friday 2/17 Afternoon Winds: SSW 14-18
Seas: WNW 7 feet at 16 seconds
Saturday 2/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 22-29
Seas: W 13 feet at 13 seconds
Sunday 2/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: WNW 10 feet at 14 second

MAG BAY
Friday 2/17 Afternoon Winds: SW 12-15
Seas: WNW 7 feet at 17 seconds
Saturday 2/18 Afternoon Winds: W 18-24
Seas: WNW 10 feet at 15 seconds
Sunday 2/19 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: WNW 11 feet at 14 second

CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
2/17 Afternoon Winds: S 6-8
Seas: WNW 7 feet at 18 seconds
2/18 Afternoon Winds: SW 21-28
Seas: WNW 9 feet at 16 seconds
2/19 Afternoon Winds: NNW 10-13
Seas: WNW 13 feet at 14 seconds
CITIES: TODAY'S FORCAST WINDS
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
2/17 Morning Winds: SSE 14 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 27-35
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
2/17 Morning Winds: SSE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 18-24
*San Filepe:
2/18 Morning Winds: SSE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 14-18
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
2/17 Morning Winds: SW 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 15-20
San Franciscito Bay,
2/17 Morning Winds: WSW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-11
Santa Rosalia :
2/17 Morning Winds: SSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 7-9
*Mulegé :
2/17 Morning Winds: S 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 11-14
*San Carlos
2/17 Morning Winds: S 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 31-41
Pt Concepcion :
2/17 Morning Winds: S 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 13-17

Punta Chivato :
2/17 Morning Winds: SSE 6 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 11-14

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds: S 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 11-14
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
2/17 Morning Winds: SSE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-16
San Lorenzo channel,
Morning Winds: SSE 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 17-22

La Paz:
2/17 Morning Winds: SE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 10-13
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
2/17 Morning Winds: S 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 10-13
*Los Barriles :
2/17 Morning Winds: SE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 18-23
*Cabo San Lucas :
2/17 Morning Winds: SW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 7-9
*Mazatlan:
2/17 Morning Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
*Puerta Vallarta:
2/17 Morning Winds: E 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 8-10
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo
2/17 Morning Winds: ESE 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-15
Cabo Corrienties :
2/17 Morning Winds: E 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 8-10


Afternoon Winds: NW 8-10


Afternoon Winds: NW 8-10


Afternoon Winds: NW 8-10


Afternoon Winds: NW 8-10


Afternoon Winds: NW 8-10



The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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Sea of Cortez Weather

About Geary

I broadcast a daily Sea of Cortez weather forecast on 3.968mh. My window to the world is a satellite Antenna hung on a palm tree next to my palapa.

Geary's Recent Photos

Whale Shark2.jpg
Whale Shark1.jpg
Sunrise over Mazatlan December 18, 2015
18 ft Whale Shark

Personal Weather Stations

El Burro Cove
Bahia Concepcion, BAJA SUR
Elevation: 0 ft
Temperature: 84.1 °F
Dew Point: 29.8 °F
Humidity: 14%
Wind: 5.0 mph from the East
Wind Gust: 13.0 mph
Updated: 5:18 PM MDT on March 25, 2017

About Personal Weather Stations