Scientific Forecaster Discussion
fxus62 ktbw 171723
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin Florida
1223 PM EST Sat Nov 17 2018
Short term (tonight-sunday)...
high pressure and mostly clear conditions will continue
through Sunday. Winds turn more to the NE/east overnight and
lighten as the high pressure center continues to shift NE
along the eastern Seaboard. Lows tonight in the upper 40s to
lower 50s north, mid 50s inland to lower 60s coastal
central and south.
Long term (sunday night-saturday)...
surface ridging will continue across the area through
Monday as conditions moderate with east/NE winds in place, and
aloft generally west/SW flow remains across the area. A weak
front then moves into the area Tuesday/Wednesday, with upper
energy lingering across the area. A few showers possible
with this, but mostly south. Weak ridging briefly builds
back over the area Wednesday night/Thursday but an area of
low pressure will be moving east across the Gulf and over
the area Friday/Saturday. This will bring some scattered
showers and a few storms with it. Highs will linger in the
mid 70s to lower 80s through the period, with lows warming
from the upper 40s to lower 60s Saturday night to in the 50s
to lower 60s Sunday night through the rest of the period.
VFR expected through the period. Light NE winds overnight
and Sunday with a weak sea breeze possible near the coast
high pressure remains across the waters through early
Monday, with NE/east winds continuing as the high center
shifts to the NE. A weak front then pushes through the area
Tuesday/Wednesday, with winds just backing a bit to the
N/NE. Weak ridging builds behind it for Thursday as an area
of low pressure in the western Gulf starts to shift east.
Preliminary point temps/pops...
tpa 58 79 63 79 / 0 0 10 10
fmy 60 83 63 83 / 0 0 0 10
gif 57 81 60 81 / 0 0 10 10
srq 58 80 62 79 / 0 0 10 10
bkv 50 79 54 79 / 0 0 0 10
spg 62 78 65 78 / 0 0 10 10